{"id":260,"date":"2021-01-06T08:00:00","date_gmt":"2021-01-06T12:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/guidocutipa.blog.bo\/investigacion\/?p=260"},"modified":"2023-01-04T17:38:28","modified_gmt":"2023-01-04T21:38:28","slug":"que-significa-el-intervalo-de-confianza-al-95-resultante","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/guidocutipa.blog.bo\/investigacion\/que-significa-el-intervalo-de-confianza-al-95-resultante\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfQu\u00e9 significa el intervalo de confianza al 95 %?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

El intervalo de confianza es una medida de la precisi\u00f3n de una estimaci\u00f3n de una poblaci\u00f3n basada en una muestra. El intervalo de confianza al 95% indica que hay un 95% de posibilidades de que el intervalo que se ha estimado incluya el verdadero valor de la poblaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El intervalo de confianza del 95% es un rango de valores del que puede estar 95% seguro de que contiene la media real de la poblaci\u00f3n. A medida que aumenta el tama\u00f1o de la muestra, el rango de valores de intervalo se reducir\u00e1, lo que significa que sabr\u00e1 esa media con mucha m\u00e1s precisi\u00f3n en comparaci\u00f3n con una muestra m\u00e1s peque\u00f1a. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Se puede visualizar esto usando una distribuci\u00f3n normal:<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

Ejemplo 1<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

La probabilidad de que el valor medio de la poblaci\u00f3n est\u00e9 entre -1,96 y +1,96 desviaciones est\u00e1ndar (puntuaciones z) de la media de la muestra es del 95%. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

En consecuencia, existe un 5% de probabilidad de que la media de la poblaci\u00f3n se encuentre fuera del intervalo de confianza superior e inferior (como lo ilustra el 2,5% de valores at\u00edpicos a cada lado de las puntuaciones z de 1,96).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ejemplo 2<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Si se realiza una encuesta a una muestra de personas y se estima que el porcentaje de personas que apoyan una determinada medida es del 50% con un intervalo de confianza al 95%, significa que si se repitiera la encuesta una y otra vez, el 95% de las veces el porcentaje estimado estar\u00eda dentro del intervalo de confianza especificado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El tama\u00f1o de la muestra y la variabilidad de la poblaci\u00f3n afectan el tama\u00f1o del intervalo de confianza. Cuanto mayor sea la muestra y menor sea la variabilidad, menor ser\u00e1 el intervalo de confianza.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Referencias<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/www.psyma.com\/company\/news\/message\/como-determinar-el-tamano-de-una-muestra<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

http:\/\/asignatura.us.es\/dadpsico\/apuntes\/TamMuestra.pdf<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/www.bancofinandina.com\/finanblog\/noticias\/2019\/11\/01\/que-es-un-intervalo-de-confianza-y-para-que-se-utiliza<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/www.simplypsychology.org\/confidence-interval.html<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00bfQu\u00e9 es y para qu\u00e9 sirve el Intervalo de Confianza? LadisLao P. d\u00edaz BaLL ve, Fernando G. r\u00edos, MarceLa Mariano<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

El intervalo de confianza es una medida de la precisi\u00f3n de una estimaci\u00f3n de una poblaci\u00f3n basada en una muestra. El intervalo de confianza al 95% indica que hay un 95% de posibilidades de que el intervalo que se ha estimado incluya el verdadero valor de la poblaci\u00f3n. El intervalo de confianza del 95% es … Leer m\u00e1s<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":265,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[2],"tags":[11],"class_list":["post-260","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investigacion-cientifica","tag-estadistica"],"yoast_head":"\n\u00bfQu\u00e9 significa el intervalo de confianza al 95 %? - Investigaci\u00f3n Cient\u00edfica<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/guidocutipa.blog.bo\/investigacion\/que-significa-el-intervalo-de-confianza-al-95-resultante\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u00bfQu\u00e9 significa el intervalo de confianza al 95 %? - Investigaci\u00f3n Cient\u00edfica\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"El intervalo de confianza es una medida de la precisi\u00f3n de una estimaci\u00f3n de una poblaci\u00f3n basada en una muestra. 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